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When you simply absolutely do not want to hold Euros

When you simply absolutely do not want to hold Euros, when anything else is more palatable, when you just can’t take the risk of an entire system crumbling and want to be able to sleep at night, pay...

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Spanish Yields all over the place

First down, then miles high again, but ultimately settling above 6.8% at the close on Friday. My prediction was correct – Draghi’s vague comments weren’t credible, still aren’t, and the Bundesbank is...

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SAM Update on ORSA, Internal Models and Business Impact

I’m giving another SAM presentation at an Aon Client Day in a couple of hours. I only have 40 minutes so will be cramming in some big ideas into a short space. Some key messages: Internal Models are...

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Paris, trousers and handle bars

Bizarre.  After 200 years women are finally legally allowed to wear trousers in Paris. Although in fairness they have been able to for a little while already provided they had a handy handlebar in hand.

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Link shortening madness

URL shorteners are handy when space is limited, but each one adds another fatal point of failure. To make the point, if I want you to read about New Business Margin on Revenue. And by the way you...

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How to force a conclusion from a study [updated]

So a study commissioned by the alcohol industry demonstrates that banning alcohol adverts will be a bad thing.  Consider me unsurprised and cynical. I don’t know that the impact would necessarily be...

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Zim cash shortages

Zimbabwe seems to be experiencing some isolated (for now) cash shortages. This was a concern around election time. There was a risk that citizens, fearing uncertainty around the reintroduction of the...

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Drones, inequality and the end of the Age of the Gun

Here’s a mind-tickling quasi science fiction story about a future world of plenty derived from cheap autonomous robots. Well, plenty for some and medieval peasanthood for most. I was having a...

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Binary vs “vanilla” bets and hedging

Nassim Taleb, an author who usually inspires (except in his second book, Black Swans) has co-authored a paper with a long-tailed title “On the Difference between Binary Prediction and True Exposure...

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Travel and horizons

I don’t know if this is a function of ubiquitous IP geolocation or some metaphysical reward for travel, but I’ve been discussing some unfamiliar music and artists in multiple ways during this trip. I...

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When you simply absolutely do not want to hold Euros

When you simply absolutely do not want to hold Euros, when anything else is more palatable, when you just can’t take the risk of an entire system crumbling and want to be able to sleep at night, pay...

View Article

Spanish Yields all over the place

First down, then miles high again, but ultimately settling above 6.8% at the close on Friday. My prediction was correct – Draghi’s vague comments weren’t credible, still aren’t, and the Bundesbank is...

View Article

SAM Update on ORSA, Internal Models and Business Impact

I’m giving another SAM presentation at an Aon Client Day in a couple of hours. I only have 40 minutes so will be cramming in some big ideas into a short space. Some key messages: Internal Models are...

View Article


Paris, trousers and handle bars

Bizarre.  After 200 years women are finally legally allowed to wear trousers in Paris. Although in fairness they have been able to for a little while already provided they had a handy handlebar in hand.

View Article

Link shortening madness

URL shorteners are handy when space is limited, but each one adds another fatal point of failure. To make the point, if I want you to read about New Business Margin on Revenue. And by the way you...

View Article


How to force a conclusion from a study [updated]

So a study commissioned by the alcohol industry demonstrates that banning alcohol adverts will be a bad thing.  Consider me unsurprised and cynical. I don’t know that the impact would necessarily be...

View Article

Zim cash shortages

Zimbabwe seems to be experiencing some isolated (for now) cash shortages. This was a concern around election time. There was a risk that citizens, fearing uncertainty around the reintroduction of the...

View Article


Drones, inequality and the end of the Age of the Gun

Here’s a mind-tickling quasi science fiction story about a future world of plenty derived from cheap autonomous robots. Well, plenty for some and medieval peasanthood for most. I was having a...

View Article

Binary vs “vanilla” bets and hedging

Nassim Taleb, an author who usually inspires (except in his second book, Black Swans) has co-authored a paper with a long-tailed title “On the Difference between Binary Prediction and True Exposure...

View Article

Travel and horizons

I don’t know if this is a function of ubiquitous IP geolocation or some metaphysical reward for travel, but I’ve been discussing some unfamiliar music and artists in multiple ways during this trip. I...

View Article
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